28.04.2026
What if war no longer counted toward economic growth? A futuring exercise
In most countries today, war contributes to economic growth. This may sound counterintuitive, but it is a simple consequence of how we measure prosperity. Military expenditure counts toward Gross Domestic Product (GDP) just like education, healthcare, or renewable energy investments. The production of weapons increases GDP. Reconstruction after destruction increases GDP again. From a purely economic perspective, war can become productive. But what does that mean for how societies organize themselves?