Research Institute for
Sustainability | at GFZ

Revisiting Rayner & Cantor (1987)—How Fair is Safe Enough? The Cultural Approach to Societal Technology Choice

This paper provides a critical review of Rayner and Cantor’s seminal 1987 work, ‘How fair is safe enough?’ which challenged the technocratic dominance of 1980s risk analysis. By shifting the focus from statistical safety to institutional fairness, the authors utilised Mary Douglas’s ‘Grid-Group’ cultural theory to explain societal technology choices. They categorised public responses into four cultural prototypes—entrepreneurs, egalitarians, bureaucrats and stratified individuals—each possessing a distinct, ‘rational’ framing of risk and justice. The analysis highlights the paper’s innovation in redefining ‘consent’ as a social contract rather than a legal hurdle. However, the review also notes significant limitations, including a lack of empirical evidence, a ‘blind spot’ regarding power imbalances and decreasing applicability to the incremental, digital risks of the modern era. Despite these critiques, the text remains a transformative link between psychometric perception studies and social constructivism, asserting that in pluralistic societies, safety is ultimately a social construct rooted in trust and procedural equity.

Publication Year

2026

Citation

Renn, O. (2027). Revisiting Rayner & Cantor (1987)—How Fair is Safe Enough? The Cultural Approach to Societal Technology Choice. In J. Weichselgartner, L. Schrott, & T. Glade (Eds.), Six Decades of Risk Research: A Review of Key Publications (pp. 108-117). Cham: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-032-30515-2_11.

DOI

10.1007/978-3-032-30515-2_11
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